votevoice.org

Encouraging civic involvement

07 mess B

Overview  >  Sources

Sources

This site translates what voters said on November 3, 2026 into an agenda for 2027 and 2028. Here is what it draws on and how to read it.

What we drew on

  • Election-day surveys of actual voters. The AP Voter Poll, conducted by SSRS with roughly 80,000 to 100,000 respondents in all 50 states, plus the NBC News Exit Poll and Fox News Voter Poll. KFF added health questions to the same survey.
  • Pre-election issue surveys. Gallup (October 1 to 19, 1,057 registered voters), Pew Research Center (September 28 to October 4) and AP-NORC (October).
  • Reported results from AP, CBS News and other outlets as of November 5, 2026.

How to read the numbers

  • Several races are still being counted, so seat totals are projections.
  • Early survey figures are often revised as final weights are applied; the direction of findings is more reliable than any single percentage.
  • Polls measure different things. Gallup’s “extremely important” is stricter than Pew’s “very important,” and AP’s top-issue question forces one choice. Percentages are not directly comparable across polls.
  • These are national findings. Test them in each state or district with local polling, listening sessions and constituent casework before final decisions.

Design options

Choices for keeping this evidence base current:

Option What it means Trade-off
National baseline only Update this page as final AP and Census turnout data are released. Low cost; misses local differences.
District validation (recommended) Add district polling with consistent question wording, focus groups and county-level data. Shows whether voters back the problem, the solution or both.

 

Success metrics

Measure Baseline Target
Polls cited with sample, dates, wording and margin of error Partial All
Figures updated after final voter data Not yet Within 30 days of release

 

All sources

 

The 2026 Midterms: What Comes Next. Analysis updated November 8, 2026. Figures from election-day and pre-election surveys; projections may change as counting finishes.